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  #4391  
Old 23-11-2017, 10:14 PM
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Dollar on the Defensive on Fed Inflation Caution



The dollar nursed its losses on Thursday after notching a two-month low against the yen after the minutes of the Federal Reserve's meeting showed that some policymakers are concerned about low inflation. The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies was slightly lower at 93.184, having lost 0.75 percent overnight.

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  #4392  
Old 23-11-2017, 10:16 PM
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Gold Prices Drop Amid Fed Inflation Concerns



Gold prices edged down on Thursday, as investors took profits following gains of almost one percent in the session earlier on weaker U.S. economic data as well as concerns over lower inflation. Spot gold fell 0.2 percent at $1,290.05 an ounce. U.S. gold futures for December delivery slipped 0.2 percent to $1,289.80.

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  #4393  
Old 24-11-2017, 11:39 AM
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European Markets Flat Amid Weak Trading Volumes



European equities were relatively flat on Thursday, as investors priced in the latest in individual stock news, in the face of thin trading volumes internationally. The pan-European STOXX 600 rose 0.02 percent provisionally, closing off its session lows. Sectors were pointing in different directions by the finish.

France's CAC 40 climbed 0.5 percent, while Britain's FTSE 100 and Germany's DAX closed lower, off 0.02 and 0.05 percent respectively. Utilities dropped 0.40 percent and was the worst performing sector. Centrica plunged 15.49 percent after it announced that it lost 823,000 customers in four months. EDF advanced 5.6 percent, which made it Europe's best performer, following reports that France's finance ministry was looking at various restructuring options for the utility company.

One possible option is the spinning off of EDF's nuclear power-generation activities, according to a report from Reuters. Basic resources outperformed, climbing 0.31 percent, as metal prices increased. The sector was under pressure in morning trade, as performance in Asia weighed on sentiment. Telecommunications company Altice traded higher, which has created concerns in corporate-bond markets due to its large debt piles and weak revenues.

Altice rose 3.9 percent following reports that it would sell its Dominican Republic business. Thyssenkrupp reported record elevator orders, contributing to its highest order intake in five years. The company also announced that it still aims to sign a contract with Tata Steel in early 2018. Its stock bounced around four percent.

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  #4394  
Old 24-11-2017, 11:40 AM
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Canada Retail Sales Slightly Increased in September



Canadian retail sales increased less than expected in September as higher gasoline prices were counterbalanced by a drop in purchases of vehicles and clothing. According to Statistics Canada, retail sales rose 0.1 percent in the month, which fell short of economists' expectations for a gain of 0.9 percent, while volumes dropped 0.6 percent.

Retail sales increased 0.5 percent in the third quarter, slowing from the previous quarter's 1.4 percent advance. Gasoline sales increased for the second month in a row in September, rising 2.6 percent. Sales of motor vehicles fell 0.5 percent as Canadians purchased fewer new and used cars. Clothing and accessories sales declined 2.8 percent.

Sales at stores associated with home purchases were one source of strength in September, with building material and garden equipment sales rising 2.6 percent, while furniture purchases increased by 2.3 percent. The Canadian dollar fell versus the greenback following the release of the report. The latest data suggests that economic expansion will slow in the second half of 2017 following a solid performance during the first six months of the year which placed the country at the top of the Group of Seven pack.

The softer pace of growth, along with muted inflation and uncertain North American trade policy, is seen to keep the Bank of Canada on hold when it meets next month after hiking interest rates twice earlier in 2017. Traders are currently implying a 90 percent likelihood that the Bank of Canada will hold rates at one percent at its meeting in December.

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  #4395  
Old 24-11-2017, 11:41 AM
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Eurozone’s Businesses Shows Impressive Growth Towards Year-End



Business growth in the eurozone is blazing ahead as the year nears its end, a survey published on Thursday showed, providing proof of the effectivity of the European Central Bank's choice of monetary stimulus and its path. IHS Markit's composite Purchasing Managers' Index, which covers the activity in both services and manufacturing industries, surged to 57.5 this month, the index's highest reading since April 2011 and surpassing the average forecast.

It was also higher compared to the prior month's 56.0 reading. The non-manufacturing sector's PMI also topped average estimates, rising from the previous month's 55.0 to a six-month peak of 56.2 and significantly higher than the average projection for a modest rise to 55.1. Manufacturers performed better than expected. The industry's PMI rose to 60.0 from 58.5, the index's second-highest reading on record.

A measure of production surged to an almost seven-year high of 60.8 from 58.8. Prospects for December also looks positive. A new business index rose to 56.9 from 56.6, close to a seven-year high. Britain's overall economic expansion moderately accelerated in the third quarter, but only recorded a GDP growth of 0.4 percent as household spending increased. However, this was offset by the slowdown in business investment. In contrast , exports, as well as capital expenditures, fueled the eurozone economy powerhouse, Germany, in the previous quarter.

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  #4396  
Old 24-11-2017, 11:42 AM
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Germany Economy Poised to Remain Strong Despite Political Uncertainty



Exports and rising business investments were the main drivers of growth for the German economy in the third quarter, according to latest data, which indicates a strong upswing that would extend well into 2018. Detailed gross domestic product data showed that exports increased 1.7 percent on the quarter while imports were up 0.9 percent, which translated in net trade contributing half of the quarterly growth reading of 0.8 percent.

Business investments in machinery and equipment rose 1.5 percent, contributing 0.1 percentage points to expansion. Household spending dropped 0.1 percent and state expenditure was flat. The data should alleviate jitters about risks for the German economy associated with Chancellor Angela Merkel's failure to form a coalition government after an election in September, which raised the possibility of a second vote that could boost the far-right.

Germany showed signs of sharp growth in foreign trade. Markit's flash composite Purchasing Managers' Index for the whole economy increased from 56.6 to 57.6 in November, comfortably above consensus estimates of 56.7. Manufacturers marked a significant rise in new orders, particularly from abroad. The manufacturing index increased from 60.6 to 62.5, compared to consensus expectations of a slight decline.

The solid demand led to the best rate of job creation in six-and-a-half years, despite the fact Germany already has record-low jobless rates.

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  #4397  
Old 24-11-2017, 11:43 AM
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U.K. Consumer Spending Powers Economic Growth



Consumers fueled the British economy's growth in the third quarter as spending on vehicles regained footing but Brexit appears to be taking a toll on business investment. According to a report by the Office for National Statistics, household spending increased 0.6 percent, the fastest pace in a year.

However, business investment slowed down and net trade weighed on growth. Total GDP grew at an unrevised rate of 0.4 percent, higher compared to the 0.3 percent expansion in the last quarter. Business investment increased 0.2 percent, its worst performance since the end of 2016 and net trade shaved 0.5 percentage points from growth as exports declined and imports increased.

Despite consumer spending strengthening from growth of just 0.2 percent in the previous three months, recent reports have underlined the risk of a slowdown before a crucial holiday shopping period as the squeeze on incomes from inflation begins to bite. The economic data comes a day after Chancellor of Exchequer Philip Hammond issued a downgraded economic outlook due to the weak productivity and headwinds presented by Brexit.

The Office for Budget Responsibility estimated the economy will grow 1.5 percent this year, down from the 2 percent growth projected in March and estimated growth will remain below 2 percent through 2022.

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  #4398  
Old 24-11-2017, 12:30 PM
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Japan Manufacturing Growth Strongest Since March 2014



Japan's manufacturing activity expanded at the steepest pace in more than three-and-a-half years in November, survey figures from IHS Markit showed Friday.

The Nikkei flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index, or PMI, climbed to a 44-month high of 53.8 in November from 52.8 in October.

Any reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector.

Among components, output, new orders, employment all increased at faster rates in November.

"A cheaper yen and higher material prices have intensified cost pressures, as input price inflation increased to a 35-month high in November," Joe Hayes, Economist at IHS Markit, said.

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  #4399  
Old 24-11-2017, 12:45 PM
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U.K. Consumer Spending Powers Economic Growth



Consumers fueled the British economy's growth in the third quarter as spending on vehicles regained footing but Brexit appears to be taking a toll on business investment.

According to a report by the Office for National Statistics, household spending increased 0.6 percent, the fastest pace in a year. However, business investment slowed down and net trade weighed on growth. Total GDP grew at an unrevised rate of 0.4 percent, higher compared to the 0.3 percent expansion in the last quarter.

Business investment increased 0.2 percent, its worst performance since the end of 2016 and net trade shaved 0.5 percentage points from growth as exports declined and imports increased.

Despite consumer spending strengthening from growth of just 0.2 percent in the previous three months, recent reports have underlined the risk of a slowdown before a crucial holiday shopping period as the squeeze on incomes from inflation begins to bite.

The economic data comes a day after Chancellor of Exchequer Philip Hammond issued a downgraded economic outlook due to the weak productivity and headwinds presented by Brexit.

The Office for Budget Responsibility estimated the economy will grow 1.5 percent this year, down from the 2 percent growth projected in March and estimated growth will remain below 2 percent through 2022.

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  #4400  
Old 24-11-2017, 03:21 PM
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ECB Concerned Markets Anticipate Additional QE Extensions



Some policymakers of the European Central Bank were concerned during the meeting last month that failure to issue an end-date on their bond-buying program may propagate unwarranted speculation in the markets that the quantitative easing could be extended again in 2018.

A readout of the October 25-26 Governing Council session showed officials are worried that the open-ended nature of the QE program might prompt expectations of further extensions as the intended end date of the program nears. The ECB ruled to prolong quantitative at the reduced monthly rate of 30 billion euros at least until September 2018, promising to extend more if the inflation outlook failed to develop towards expectations.

While the decision was mostly supported by members of the governing body according to the accounts of the meeting, a number of alternative strategies were proposed and discussed at the meeting. Some members expressed for a several overall envelope of the targeted APP buying, as well as a change in the monthly pace of buying for a given intended envelope. Meanwhile, others wanted a longer purchase period to give more prolonged monetary support and voiced worries regarding the possibility of unintended repercussions of issuing a firm date to stop the program.

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