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  #1  
Old 26-04-2017, 11:52 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Japanese yen falls against U.S. dollar, hits fresh 2-week low at 111.50, Asian markets up,
gold stabilizes around $1,262 mark – Wednesday, April 26, 2017



Market Roundup

US CommSec Ross expects to complete NAFTA rewriting this year, to launch trade actions to protect US aluminum/semiconductor/shipbuilding industries, will ramp up free-trade talks with EU/Japan/UK, looking at potentially “opening up” South Korea – Wall Street Journal.

Trump to propose 10% tax on offshore earnings – Bloomberg.

Trump to abandon contentious border tax on imports – New York Times.
US military being moving THAAD missile defense into SoKorea site – Yonhap.

Australia Q1 CPI +0.5% q/q, +2.1% y/y, trimmed mean +0.5%, +1.9%, weighted mean +0.4%, +1.7%, +0.6/+2.2%, +0.5/+1.8% and +0.5/+1.8% eyed, inflation highest since ’14 and enters RBA target band but still underwhelms.
NZ March migration gain, short-term visitors -0.2% y/y.


Economic Data Ahead

- (0300 ET/0700 GMT) Sweden April manufacturing confidence index, 113.4 eyed; last 112.7.

- (0300 ET/0700 GMT) Sweden April consumer confidence index, 103.5 eyed; last 102.6.
(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Switzerland April investor sentiment index; last 29.6.

- (0830 ET/1230 GMT) US building permits – revised; prelim 1.26 mln AR, +3.6% m/m.


Key Events Ahead

- N/A BoJ Policy Board begins two-day meeting.

- N/A UK PM May, EU Juncker, Barnier meeting in London.

- N/A Frankfurt Finance Summit ’17.

- N/A Spain 10-year EUR linker via BNP/Caixa/Citi/HSBC/MS/SocGen.

- N/A Norway NOK3 bln 1.75% 2027 NST-479 government bond auction.

- N/A Pres Trump announcement on tax reform/reduction.

* (0400 ET/0800 GMT) Riksbank executive board meeting.

* (0500 ET/0900 GMT) Italy E6 bln 6-month BOT auction.

* (0530 ET/0930 GMT) ECB 3-month LTRO, E3 bln allotment eyed, E3.35 bln maturing.

* (0530 ET/0930 GMT) UK DMO GBP800 mln 0.125% 2046 index-linked Gilt auction.

* (0600 ET/1000 GMT) Sweden 4.25% and 3.5% 2019 and 2022 government bond auctions.

* (0600 ET/1000 GMT) Finland E0.5-1.5 bln zero% and 1.375% 2022 and 2047 RFGB auctions.

* (0700 ET/1100 GMT) Buba Dombret in Frankfurt panel discussion.

* (1700 ET/2100 GMT) Trump administration to brief full House on NoKorea situation.


FX Recap


USD: The dollar edged up 0.2 percent to 111.30 yen. The greenback added to the hefty gains made on Tuesday, when it climbed 1.2 percent, the dollar's biggest one-day rise against the yen in three months.

EUR/USD: The euro edged up 0.1 percent to $1.0938. On Tuesday, it hit a 5-1/2 month high of $1.0950 as traders digested centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron's victory in the first round of France's presidential election on Sunday. Against the yen, the euro edged up 0.2 percent to 121.76 yen. The euro has gained 4.1 percent against the yen so far this week.

USD/JPY: The yen edged lower on Wednesday, remaining under pressure as risk sentiment improved and safe haven demand eased, on relief over the first round of the French presidential election. A sustained close above 111.08 is required to take the parity higher towards 111.45, 112.19, 113.72, 115.37 and 117.42 marks. Alternatively, a daily close below 111.08 will drag the parity down towards 108.13 levels.

GBP/USD: The sterling trades almost flat against U.S. dollar at 1.2827 mark. Pair made intraday high at 1.2843 and low at 1.2824 marks. The Sterling sank to a two-week low against the euro on Tuesday, hit by the single currency's renewed strength as relieved investors turned optimistic on Europe after the first round of the French presidential election.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar dropped a quarter of a U.S. cent to $0.7517, having briefly popped as high as $0.7557. Pair made intraday high at $0.7552 and low at $0.7506 marks. Immediate resistance was seen at $0.7612 and support was seen at $0.7500 marks.

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar dropped to a two-week low of $0.6932, having shed 1.4 percent so far this week. The kiwi emerged from the ANZAC day public holiday on Tuesday, which muted trading volumes, as one of the worst-performing major currencies.




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  #2  
Old 27-04-2017, 09:18 PM
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Americas Roundup: Dollar retreat against euro after Trump tax plan, Wall Steet dips,
Oil prices stable after big draw in U.S. crude inventories - Thursday, April 27th,2017



Market Roundup

US Building permits +4.2% v 3.6% previous.

• White House readies order to quit NAFTA – administration official.

• US NEC’s Cohn: Trump to repeal AMT, death tax; will protect mortgage tax deduction, simplify tax filing.

• US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin: Administration believes 3% growth rate sustainable.

• Canadian Retail sales m/m Feb -0.6% v -0.1% forecast, 2.3% previous.

• US moves THAAD anti-missile to S. Korean site, sparking protests; Frontrunner in S. Korean presidential race denounces move.

• US crude inventories fall, products build as refining jumps –EIA.


Looking Ahead – Economic Data (GMT)

• 23:50 Japan Foreign Bond Investment w/e -796.2b-previous

• 23:50 Japan Foreign Invest JP Stock w/e 315.2b- previous

• 01:30 Australia Export Prices QQ* Q1 12.40%- previous

• 01:30 Australia Import Prices QQ* Q1 0.20%- previous


Looking Ahead – Events, Other Releases (GMT)

• –:– Japan Bank of Japan end its two-day monetary policy meeting

• –:– Japan Bank of Japan rate decision; no change expected (-0.1%)


Currency Summaries


EUR/USD is likely to find support at 1.0852 levels and currently trading at 1.0901 levels. The pair has made session high at 1.0911 and hit lows at 1.0854 levels. The euro recovered some ground against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday after President Donald Trump unveiled a tax reform plan that largely underwhelmed the market. Details of the tax overhaul package have come out all week, limiting any positive upside surprise from the announcement. On Wednesday, Trump proposed slashing tax rates for businesses and on overseas corporate profits returned to the country. He also called for raising standard deductions for individuals, repealing inheritance taxes on estates and simplifying tax returns. With the tax package largely in line with expectations, investors were focused on whether the reforms would push through following an earlier failure on healthcare legislation. The euro had fallen around a third of a percent against dollar weakening to $1.0886 from a high of $1.0951 hit in early European trade, it was last trading at 1.0905. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major rivals, was last up 0.4 percent at 99.171.

GBP/USD is supported in the range of 1.2762 levels and currently trading at 1.2854 levels. It reached session high at 1.2860 and dropped to session low at 1.2807 levels. Sterling struggled for direction against the dollar on Wednesday, as investors awaited for first quarter growth numbers due on Friday in a week so far dominated by political events in the Eurozone. The pound surged by as much as 4 U.S. cents on May's election announcement last week, but its failure to push on since points to the doubts that remain in the market about the outlook for the currency and the UK economy. Investors are eyeing gross domestic product numbers due on Friday for clues on the state of Britain's economy, and are also on the lookout for more news on Brexit. Sterling was half a percent higher against the euro by 1530 GMT at 84.69 pence, having hit a two-week low of 85.30 pence on Tuesday. Against the dollar, the pound was flat at $1.2840.

USD/CAD is supported at 1.3510 levels and is trading at 1.3589 levels. It has made session high at 1.3620 and lows at 1.3577 levels. The Canadian dollar declined against its U.S. counterpart on Wednesday as Canadian dollar was pressured on news that the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump was considering pulling out of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). A senior Trump administration official said on Wednesday a draft executive order that would withdraw the United States from NAFTA, that also includes Mexico and Canada, was under consideration, confirming an earlier report from Politico. On the data front, Canadian retail sales fell more than expected in February, dragged down by lower vehicle purchases and cheaper prices for gasoline at the pump, but the decline did not alter expectations for strong economic growth in the first quarter. Sales were down 0.6 percent, Statistics Canada said on Wednesday, while economists had forecast a 0.1 percent dip. January, however, was revised slightly higher to a gain of 2.3 percent from the previously reported 2.2 percent. The Canadian dollar was last trading at C$1.3616 to the greenback, or 73.64 U.S. cents, weaker than Tuesday's close of C$1.3565, or 73.72 U.S. cents.

AUD/USD is supported around 0.7450 levels and currently trading at 0.7477 levels. It hit session high at 0.7481 and made session lows at 0.7452 levels. The Australian dollar declined against US dollar on Wednesday as Australian dollar was weighted down by a stronger dollar and downbeat Australian inflation data. Australian consumer price inflation tiptoed atop 2 percent last quarter for the first time since 2014 as petrol, health care and education got more expensive, a hopeful sign that the danger of deflation had likely passed for this cycle. Yet, key measures of core inflation stayed stubbornly short of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) 2 to 3 percent target band, implying there was scant pressure for a hike in interest rates anytime soon. The RBA's favoured measures of underlying inflation ticked up to an annual pace of 1.8 percent in the first quarter, from 1.5 percent and in line with market expectations. The Australian dollar sank about 1 percent against the greenback to a more than three-month low of $0.7453 following downbeat inflation numbers. Strong support was found at 7400 cents, with resistance at the 200-day moving average of $0.7612. The Aussie has lost a full U.S. cent since hitting a peak above 76 cents last week.







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Old 02-05-2017, 08:46 PM
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Asia Roundup : Aussie turns higher as RBA stands pat, gold marginally lower,
silver hits fresh 4-month low, Asian markets mixed-Tuesday, May 02, 2017




Market Roundup
  • Australia central bank holds rates at 1.5 pct.
  • RBA unchanged policy consistent with sustainable growth and achieving inflation target over time.
  • RBA says has been a broad based pickup in global economy since last year.
  • RBA says high level of debt continues to present medium-term risks in China.
  • RBA says domestic growth expected to increase gradually over next couple of years to a little above 3 pct.
  • RBA rising AUD to complicate economy's transition from mining.
  • Trump to speak by phone with Putin on Tuesday 16:30 GMT -White House.
  • Trump opens door to North Korea meeting as Pyongyang hints tests to continue.
  • White House says Trump to sign spending bill Thursday or Friday.
  • Mulvaney says Trump will request funding for border wall in next budget proposal in late May.
  • Australia's ANZ Bank H1 cash profit rises 23 percent, says outlook ‘broadly neutral’.
  • Japan April services PMI falls to 52.2 from 52.9 in March as new business growth slows.
  • South Korea April inflation slows, but still near Central bank target.
  • China April Caixin manufacturing PMI falls to 50.3, 7-month low and missing forecasts (vs poll 51.0, march 51.2.
  • China Caixin PMI suggests total new orders, output growth also slowest in seven months.



Economic Data Ahead


(0300 ET/0700 GMT) Norway Manufacturing PMI SA April 54.70 previous.

(0315 ET/0715 GMMT) Spain Manufacturing PMI April 53.90 previous.

(0330 ET/0730 GMT) Switzerland Manufacturing PMI Apr 58.60 previous.

(0345 ET/0745 GMT) Italy Markit/ADACI manufacturing PMI April 55.70 previous.

(0350 ET/0750 GMT) France Markit manufacturing PMI April 55.10 previous.

(0355 ET/0755 GMT) Germany Markit/BME manufacturing PMI April 58.20 previous.

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Italy Unemployment Rate % Mar 11.50 previous.

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Markit manufacturing Final PMI April 56.80 previous.

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) UK Markit/CIPS manufacturing PMI Apr 54.20 previous.

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Unemployment Rate % March 9.50 previous.



Key Events Ahead

No key events scheduled for the day.




FX Recap


USD: The U.S. dollar index against a basket of major currencies was effectively flat at 99.073 after posting a small gain overnight.

EUR/USD: The euro held its ground against the dollar. The common currency was up 0.1 percent at $1.0909, adding to modest gains made overnight. It was in reach of a 5-1/2-month high of $1.0951 scaled last week on relief after Emmanuel Macron's victory against anti-euro nationalist Marine Le Pen in the first round of France's presidential elections. The runoff vote is on May 7. The euro traded at 122.00 yen after touching a 1-1/2-month high of 122.150.

USD/JPY:
The Japanese yen falls against U.S. dollar o Tuesday. The dollar hit a one-month high against the yen, lifted by Treasury yields which surged after U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin commented on the possibility of ultra long-term bond issuance. Pair made intraday high at 111.99 and low at 111.78 levels. A sustained close above 111.82 is required to take the parity higher towards 112.19, 113.72, 115.37 and 117.42 marks. Alternatively, a daily close below 111.82 will drag the parity down towards 108.13 levels.

GBP/USD: The sterling trades almost flat against U.S. dollar and was hovers around 1.29 mark. Numbers from the Office for National Statistics showed Britain's economy slowed to a one-year low in the first three months of 2017, as higher inflation – in large part caused by sterling weakness following last year's Brexit vote – hurt retailers and other consumer-focused businesses. On the last trading day of April, the pound was up almost 3 percent versus the dollar on the month – its best performance since March 2016, before the vote for Brexit.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar gains against major pears after RBA keeps the cash rate steady at 1.5 percent. Pair made intraday high at 0.7556 and low at 0.7519 marks.





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Old 03-05-2017, 10:21 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Kiwi gains on robust employment data, Asian markets mixed, gold flat at $1,254 – May 03, 2017



Market Roundup

New Zealand posts strong Q1 job growth, central bank seen remaining on hold.

Brussels hoists gross Brexit ‘bill’ to Eur100bn.

Marine Le Pen says French people will have francs in their pocket instead of euros within two years – The Independent (UK).

Taiwan central bank says it would not intervene if massive foreign fund inflows continue.

Taiwan central bank says monetary policy remains loose.

Taiwan central bank says sees currency volatility as “unavoidable”.

Philippines' congress panel voted to reject Regina Lopez as environment minister – Panel member.


Economic Data Ahead

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Germany Unemployment Total SA mln Apr 2.56 previous.

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Germany Unemployment Rate SA % Apr 5.80 previous.

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Germany Unemployment Total NSA mln Apr 2.66 previous.

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Germany Unemployment Chg SA k Apr -30.00 previous.

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) UK Markit/CIPS Cons PMI Apr 52.20 previous.

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ GDP Flash Prelim YY % Q1 1.70 previous.

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Producer Prices YY % Mar 4.50 previous.

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Producer Prices MM % Mar 0.00 previous.

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ GDP Flash Prelim QQ % Q1 0.40 previous.


Key Events Ahead

(0845 ET/1245 GMT) ECB Non Monetary Policy Committee Meeting.

(0530 ET/0930 GMT) Germany 10y 3.0b 0.250% 15/02/27 TAP.


FX Recap

USD: The U.S. dollar index against a basket of major currencies was effectively flat at 98.97 after posting a small gain overnight.

EUR/USD: The euro inched up 0.1 percent to $1.0934, trading within sight of a 5-1/2 month high of $1.0951 scaled last week. Pair made intraday high at 1.0936 and low at 1.0924. A sustained close above 1.0931 is required to take the parity up towards 1.1142 marks. Alternatively, reversal from key resistance will drag the parity down towards 1.0710 marks.

USD/JPY: The Japanese markets closed for a public holiday on Wednesday and the rest of the week, market liquidity is likely to be thinner than usual. The dollar last traded at 112.04 yen, not very far from Tuesday's peak of 112.33 yen, the greenback's strongest level since March 21. Pair made intraday high at 112.09 and low at 111.96 levels. A sustained close above 112.00 is required to take the parity higher towards 113.72, 115.37 and 117.42 marks. Alternatively, a daily close below 112.00 will drag the parity down towards 108.13 levels.

GBP/USD: The sterling strengthened to the day's high of $1.2915, up from $1.2888 beforehand, before easing back to around $1.2896, up 0.1 percent on the day. Against the euro, it recovered earlier losses to trade at 84.64 pence, flat on the day. Immediate resistance was seen at 1.2947 marks while support was seen at 1.2864 marks.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar erases previous gain against U.S. dollar on Wednesday as RBA kept the cash rate steady at 1.5 percent. Pair made intraday high at 0.75 and low at 0.7500 marks. Intraday bias remains bearish till the time pair holds key resistance at 0.7555 marks. Key support was seen at 0.7467.

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar rose on Wednesday after a strong jobs report reinforced a steady interest rate outlook for the months ahead, while the Australian dollar drifted lower. The New Zealand dollar edged up to $0.6950, from $0.6937 early, pulling further away from a 10-month trough of $0.6847 touched last week. It is up 1.2 percent so far this week and a break above solid resistance at $0.6970 would test April's summit of $0.7011.



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Old 05-05-2017, 10:46 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Aussie weakens against U.S. dollar; hits lowest level since January 2017,
Asian markets in red ahead of NFP job results – May 05, 2017



Market Roundup

French centrist candidate Macron seen beating Far Right's Le Pen by 62 pct to 38 pct in Presidential runoff – Elabe poll .

Australia Central Bank upbeat on long-term outlook, low wages a risk.

RBA keeps June/December GDP forecast unchanged upgrades outlook for June 2018 by 25 bps; keeps underlying inflation forecasts unchanged.

RBA says any US fiscal stimulus will add to demand, inflationary pressures.

New Zealand inflation expectations rise for Q2 – RBNZ survey.

Japan proposes expanding bilateral FX swap scheme with ASEAN.

Japan reaches agreement on bilateral FX swap arrangement of up to $3 bln with Malaysia & Thailand.


Economic Data Ahead

(0300 ET/0700 GMT) Spain Industrial Output Cal Adj YY % Mar 2.50 previous.

(0730 ET/1130 GMT) India Forex reserves.

(0800 ET/1200 GMT) UK Mortgage Rate % April 4.40 previous.

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) US NFP job data, previous 98K.

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) US unemployment rate, previous 4.5%.

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) Canada employment change, previous 19.4K.

(0830 ET/1230 GMT) Canada unemployment rate, previous 6.7%.

(0900 ET/1300 GMT) Russia CPI mm, previous 0.1%.

(1000 ET/1400 GMT) Canada Ivey PMI.


Key Events Ahead

(1330 ET/1730 GMT) US Fed Chair Yellen speaks.

(1330 ET/1730 GMT) Chicago Fed President Evans speaks.

(1330 ET/1730 GMT) FOMC member Rosengren speaks.


FX Recap

USD: The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was down 0.03 percent on Friday at 98.76 marks.

EUR/USD: The euro traded near a six-month high against the dollar on Friday, supported by expectations that centrist Emmanuel Macron will win France's presidential election. The euro eased 0.1 percent to $1.0979, holding near Thursday's high of $1.0988, its highest since early November. The single currency rose on Thursday after Macron, in a Wednesday TV debate with anti-EU candidate Marine Le Pen, consolidated his position as the likely winner of France's presidency. The euro was also supported by expectations that the European Central Bank could take a more hawkish tone on its monetary policy at next month's meeting.

USD/JPY: The Japanese yen erases previous loss against U.S. dollar and was trading around 112.25 marks. Pair made intraday high at 112.65 and low at 112.14 levels. A sustained close above 112.44 is required to take the parity higher towards 113.72, 115.37 and 117.42 marks. Alternatively, a daily close below 112.44 will drag the parity down towards 110.87/108.13 levels.

GBP/USD: The Sterling rose above $1.29 on Thursday after stronger-than-expected data from Britain's huge services sector, which was seen bolstering the case for the Bank of England to raise interest rates sooner rather than later. The Markit/CIPS Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), a closely watched gauge of Britain's services industry, rose to a four-month high of 55.8 in April, above all forecasts in a Reuters poll of economists. The pair was currently trading around $1.2925 levels.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar hovered near multi-month lows against its U.S. counterpart and euro on Friday as iron ore prices extended losses, putting it on track for a hefty weekly drop. The Australian dollar slipped to a four-month trough of $0.7378, from $0.7410 early, having fallen 1.3 percent since Monday in a third consecutive week of losses. The Aussie also hit six-month lows against a euro that has been re-energised by expectations that centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron will win Sunday's presidential election in France.

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar fell to an 11-month low of $0.6840 overnight before recovering slightly to $0.6882. The Kiwi was set to stand largely flat on the week, after falling 2.3 percent the previous week.



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Old 05-05-2017, 10:48 PM
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Equities Recap

Hong Kong’s Hang seng was trading 1.15 percent lower at 24,400 points.

Australia’s S&P ASX200 was trading 0.80 percent lower at 5,830 points.

Shanghai composite index to open down 0.4 pct at 3,114.77 points and China's CSI300 index to open down 0.3 pct at 3,393.48 points.

Taiwan’s market was trading 0.54 percent lower at 9,913.23 points.

India’s NSE Nifty was trading around 0.40 percent lower at 9,322.90 points and BSE Sensex was trading at 0.47 percent lower at 29,985.01 points.


Commodities Recap

Oil prices fell by as much as a further 3 percent on Friday, after prices had crashed to five-month lows in the previous session, as concerns about global oversupply wiped out all of the price gains since OPEC's move to cut output. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures were trading at $44.14 per barrel at 0335 GMT, down $1.39 or 3 percent, after a more than 4 percent drop the previous session. WTI futures have fallen below prices when the OPEC cuts were agreed in late November and are at their lowest since Nov. 14. Brent crude futures were at $47.05 per barrel at 0335 GMT, down $1.33 or 2.8 percent from their last close. Brent tumbled back below $50 in the previous session and is its lowest since Jan. 14.

Gold inched up on Friday as the euro rose against the dollar, but was on track for its biggest weekly fall since November on receding political risks in France and expectations of a U.S. rate rise as early as June. Gold edged up slightly from a near seven-week low of $1,225.20 hit on Thursday, but is poised to end the week down over 3 percent, the biggest percentage fall since the week ending Nov. 11. Spot gold rose 0.1 percent to $1,228.17 per ounce as of 0311 GMT.


Treasuries Recap

New Zealand government bonds eased, sending yields 0.5 basis points higher at the long end of the curve.

Australian government bond futures fell to one-month lows, with the three-year bond contract off 3 ticks at 98.060. The 10-year contract eased 3.5 ticks to 97.2900, while the 20-year contract lost 2.5 ticks to 96.7200.




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Old 08-05-2017, 09:07 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Aussie eases despite upbeat business conditions, euro hits multi-week highs after Macron wins French presidency,
Asian shares rise following mixed Chinese trade report – May 08, 2017



Market Roundup

Macron wins French presidency, to sighs of relief in Europe

Winning margin of 66.06-33.94 percent wider than predicted

Euro touches multi-month highs against different currencies

China Apr exports, imports rise less than expected

China Apr exports y/y ($), +8.0% vs forecast +10.4%

China Apr imports y/y ($), +11.9% vs forecast +18.0%

China Apr trade balance ($) +38.05 bln vs forecast +35.5 bln

China FX chief says no intention of competitive currency devaluation

China's April FX reserves rise to $3.03 tln from $3.009 tln in Mar

Australia Mar building approvals m/m SA, -13.4% vs forecast -4.0%

Australian Apr business conditions jumped to +14, highest since 2008 – NAB

Australia to hold new inquiry into 'Big Four' banks

Saudi energy min says oil output cuts likely to be extended

Oil extends rebound from 5-mth lows on output cut hopes


Economic Data Ahead

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Eurozone May Sentix Index, 25.0 eyed; last 23.9

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Great Britain Apr Halifax House Prices m/m, 0.2% eyed; last 0.0%


Key Events Ahead

N/A ECB's Yves Merch to participate in IIF's 2017 c.bank Governance Group meeting in Tokyo.


FX Recap

DXY: The dollar steadied after falling to 6-week lows against the euro following centrist independent Emmanuel Macron win in the second round of the French presidential elections over far-right candidate Marine Le Pen. The dollar against a basket of currencies traded 0.1 percent up at 98.68, having hit a low of 98.50 earlier, it’s lowest since Nov. 10. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at -48.53 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro retreated from multi-week highs hit early in the session as investors booked profits from its gains following centrist Emmanuel Macron's win over the far-right Marine Le Pen in France's presidential election. The European currency traded 0.2 percent down at 1.0972, having touched an early high of 1.1021, its highest since Nov. 09. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at 25.87 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors will continue to digest Emmanuel Macron's presidential election victory, ahead of Eurozone's Sentix investor confidence, the U.S. labor market conditions index and Fed officials' speeches. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1021 (Session High), a break above targets 1.1100. On the downside, support is seen at 1.0944 (38.2% retrace of 1.0820 and 1.1021), a break below could drag it near 1.0897 (61.8% retrace).

USD/JPY: The dollar steadied after jumping to a near seven-week high of 113.04 yen in early trade, as markets cheered Macron victory's in France's presidential election. Moreover, a surprise to the upside in the headline nonfarm payrolls indicated signs that the economy continues to grow stronger. The major traded 0.1 percent up at 112.76, hovering towards a peak of 113.04 hit on Thursday, its highest since Mar. 17. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at -81.05 (Slightly Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. labor market conditions index and FOMC member Mester and Fed Bullards' speeches. Immediate resistance is located at 113.00, a break above targets 113.45. On the downside, support is seen at 112.50, a break below could take it near 112.09 (Previous Session Low).

GBP/USD: Sterling edged down after rising to multi-month highs, as markets reacted to the overnight news of a Macron win in the French elections. Moreover, weakness in the EUR/GBP cross and broadly higher US dollar amid positive treasury yields continued to weigh on the major. Sterling trades 0.1 percent down at 1.2964, having hit a high of 1.2987 earlier, its highest since Sept. 30. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at 96.22 (Slightly Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the UK Halifax HPI and U.S. LMCI data, ahead of BoE policy decision and quarterly inflation report (QIR). Immediate resistance is located at 1.3000, a break above could take it near 1.3120 (Sept. 22 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.2900 (Previous Session Low), a break below targets 1.2830. Against the euro, the pound traded flat at 84.71 pence, having hit a low of 85.08 on Friday, its weakest since Apr. 26.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar dipped as falling commodity prices continued to drag the major lower. The pair failed to benefit from mixed Chinese trade data and better-than-expected NAB's business confidence and conditions figures. China’s trade surplus in April rose to 262.3 billion in CNY terms, surpassing the estimated figure of CNY 197.2 billion. The Aussie trades flat at 0.7412, having hit a low of 0.7367 on Friday, it’s weakest since Nov. 1. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at -66.77 (Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors will continue to track overall market sentiment, ahead of U.S economic releases and Fed speeches. Immediate support is seen at 0.7367 (Previous Session Low), a break below targets 0.7350. On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7439 (38.2 retracements of 0.7556 and 0.7367), a break above could take it near 0.7461 (50% retrace).

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar closed the bearish opening gap following the release of mixed Chinese trade figures. China’s exports rose 14.3 percent y/y in April, missing the estimate of 16.8 percent, while imports jumped 18.6 percent y/y, again missing the estimate of 29.3 percent. The Kiwi trades 0.2 percent up at 0.6928, having touched a low of 0.6839 last week, its weakest since Jun. 03. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at 67.87 (Bullish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to digest mixed Chinese trade report, ahead of the U.S. economic data. Immediate resistance is located at 0.6940 (May 2 High), a break above could take it near 0.6983 (May 3 High). On the downside, support is seen at 0.6888 (Session Low), a break below could drag it near 0.6860.




DAPATKAN INFO TERKINI DAILY MARKET NEWS SETIAP HARI DI FIREWOODFX

http://www.firewoodfx.com/category/forex-market-news/

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Old 09-05-2017, 11:33 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Aussie hits 4-month lows on downbeat retail sales, dollar rises against yen
after French presidency relief, crude oil volatile – May 09, 2017



Market Roundup

BOJ Kuroda expects to meet price target of 2% by around next fiscal year

BOJ maintains short-term interest rate target of -0.1%, pledges to guide 10-yr bond yields around 0%.

Output gap improving, but inflation still low

Japan Mar real wages, total cash earnings fall to lowest since Jun’15

Japan Mar inflation-adjusted real wages -0.8% y/y

Japan Mar total cash earnings -0.4% y/y

Australia Mar retail sales m/m -0.1% vs forecast +0.3%; last -0.2%

Australia Mar retail trade m/m +0.1% vs forecast +0.4%; last +0.7%

Australia's Big Four banks look to cut costs as challenges rise

China sets yuan midpoint 6.9037/dollar, the weakest level since Apr 10.

As China's battle with leverage begins to bite, risk bites back

IMF says Asia facing risks from rise in protectionism

South Koreans vote for new leader after months of political vacuum

UK Apr like-for-like retail sales +5.6% yy vs -1.0% in Mar – BRC


Economic Data Ahead

(0245 ET/0645 GMT) France Mar Budget Balance, last -21.50 billion

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Italy Mar Retail Sales SA m/m, last -0.3%

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Italy Mar Retail Sales NSA y/y, last -1.0%


Key Events Ahead

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Netherlands 5Y E2.500 billion auction

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) Austria 10Y E0.550 billion auction

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) Austria 30Y E0.550 billion auction

(1200 ET/1600 GMT) German finmin Wolfgang Schaeuble attends Townhall event in Berlin.


FX Recap

DXY: The dollar rose to a 2-month high versus the Japanese yen as markets priced in a Federal Reserve rate hike in June. The greenback against a basket of currencies traded flat at 99.15, having hit a low of 98.50 on Monday, it’s lowest since Nov. 10. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at 29.39 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro steadied after easing from a six-month high in the previous session, as fading worries over political populism and signs of improving economic conditions in Europe boosted investor confidence. The European currency traded 0.1 percent up at 1.0929, having touched a high of 1.1021 on Monday, its highest since Nov. 09. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at 5.99 (Neutral) by 0400 GMT. Investors now await U.S. JOLTS job opening, wholesale inventories data, and series of Fed officials' speeches, amid a lack of economic data from the Eurozone. Immediate resistance is located at 1.0943 (5-DMA), a break above targets 1.0987. On the downside, support is seen at 1.0897 (61.8% retrace of 1.0820 and 1.1021), a break below could drag it near 1.0862 (78.6% retrace).

USD/JPY:
The dollar rallied above the 113.00 handle to a fresh 2-month high, despite less hawkish comments from the Fed officials Bullard and Mester delivered overnight. Moreover, mild positive treasury yields and ongoing bullish consolidative phase in the dollar index supported the bid tone around the major. The major traded 0.1 percent up at 113.28, hovering towards a peak of 113.38 hit earlier in the session, its highest since Mar. 17. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at -137.26 (Highly Bearish) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. JOLTS job opening, wholesale inventories data and FOMC member Kaplan and Fed Rosengren speech. Immediate resistance is located at 113.50, a break above targets 114.00. On the downside, support is seen at 112.61 (5-DMA), a break below could take it near 112.09 (May 5 Low).

GBP/USD: Sterling gained, reversing some of its previous session losses, as investors attention shifted on this week's Bank of England meeting and a domestic election campaign. The British pound was also supported by upbeat British Retail Consortium like-for-like retail sales for April, which came in stronger than expectations at 5.6 percent. Sterling trades 0.1 percent up at 1.2954, having hit a high of 1.2987 on Monday, its highest since Sept. 30. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at 160.93 (Highly Bullish) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the U.S. JOLTS job opening, wholesale inventories figures, as the UK economic calendar remained absolutely data empty. Immediate resistance is located at 1.3000, a break above could take it near 1.3120 (Sept. 22 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.2900 (Apr 5 Low), a break below targets 1.2830. Against the euro, the pound traded flat at 84.38 pence, having hit a 1-week high of 84.29 earlier in the day.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar tumbled to four-month lows as downbeat retail sales figures reinforced expectations of steady interest rates in near term. The economy's retail sales declined 0.1 percent in March, against estimates of a gain of 0.3 percent. The Aussie trades 0.4 percent lower at 0.7354, having hit a fresh low of 0.7352, it’s weakest since Nov. 1. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at -130.50 (Highly Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors will continue to digest downbeat domestic data, ahead of Australia's federal budget, U.S economic releases, and Fed speeches. Immediate support is seen at 0.7350, a break below targets 0.7311 (Nov 21 Low). On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7400 (23.6 retracements of 0.7556 and 0.7352), a break above could take it near 0.7429 (38.2% retrace).

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar eased, giving up some of its previous session gains, as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is likely to stand pat at its policy review on May 11, following a rate cut in November last year. However, the downside was limited by expectations that the central bank might take on a slightly more hawkish stance from its current neutral bias on Thursday. The Kiwi trades 0.1 percent down at 0.6902, having touched a low of 0.6839 last week, its weakest since Jun. 03. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at -30.12 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track overall market sentiment, ahead of the U.S. economic data. Immediate resistance is located at 0.6940 (May 2 High), a break above could take it near 0.6983 (May 3 High). On the downside, support is seen at 0.6888 (Previous Session Low), a break below could drag it near 0.6860.




DAPATKAN INFO TERKINI DAILY MARKET NEWS SETIAP HARI DI FIREWOODFX

http://www.firewoodfx.com/category/forex-market-news/
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Old 15-05-2017, 10:10 PM
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Asia Roundup:
Antipodeans gain despite mixed Chinese data, dollar eases U.S. retail sales,
consumer price data disappoints, Asian share hit 2-year peak – Monday, May 15th, 2017



Market Roundup

China Apr industrial output +6.5% y/y vs f’cast +7.1%

China Apr retail sales +10.7% y/y vs f’cast +10.6%

China Jan-Apr fixed-asset investment +8.9% y/y vs f’cast +9.1%

China Jan-April property investment rises 9.3% y/y

PBOC sets up fintech committee to study impact on monetary policy, financial stability

China's Xi says Belt and Road needs to reject protectionism

Japan April corporate goods price index +0.2% m/m, +2.1% y/y, -0.1/+1.8% eyed

Asian businesses disrupted by cyber-attack, authorities brace for more

Russia, Saudi Arabia agree to extend oil output cuts until March 2018

New Zealand Q1 SA real retail sales q/q, +1.5% vs f’cast +0.90%

New Zealand Q1 SA actual retail sales y/y, +4.6% vs f’cast +4.4%


Economic Data Ahead

(0315 ET/0715 GMT) Switzerland Apr Producer/Import Price, last +0.1% m/m, +1.3% y/y

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Italy Apr Consumer Prices Final, last +0.3% m/m, +1.8% y/y

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Italy Apr CPI (EU Norm) Final, 0.8% m/m, 2.0% y/y eyed; last +0.8%, +2.0%


Key Events Ahead

N/A Norges Bank gov Oystein Olsen attend the hearing before the standing committee on finance and economic affairs of the Storting

N/A EU foreign affairs council meeting in Brussels

(0650 ET/1050 GMT) ECB's Daniele Nouy, European Banking Authority's Adam Farkas, Bundesbank's Andreas Dombret speak at a banking conference

(0845 ET/1245 GMT) ECB's Peter Praet speaks at “Annual PensioPlus Financial Seminar”, in Brussels

(1215 ET/1615 GMT) ECB's Ignazio Angeloni speaks at the “Regulatory vs Business? Banks and growth in Europe” conference


FX Recap

DXY: The dollar declined across the board in the wake of downbeat US retail sales and CPI data. The greenback against a basket of currencies traded flat at 99.21, having hit a high of 99.89 on Thursday, it’s highest since Apr. 21. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at 4.66 (Neutral) by 0500 GMT.

EUR/USD: The euro edged up after rising to a 4-week high earlier as the greenback continued to ease following weaker-than-expected economic data from the U.S. The European currency traded up at 1.0934, having touched a high of 1.0934 earlier, its highest since May. 8. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at 47.88 (Neutral) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on U.S. NAHB housing market index and New York empire state manufacturing index, amid a lack of data from the Eurozone docket. Immediate resistance is located at 1.0950, a break above targets 1.1000. On the downside, support is seen at 1.0915 (10-DMA), a break below could drag it lower 1.0900.

USD/JPY: The dollar eased, extending losses for the third straight session as weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data and another missile test by North Korea over the weekend underpinned the perceived safe-haven yen. The pair traded down at 113.54, having touched a low of 113.12 earlier, its lowest since May 8. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at 27.40 (Neutral) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad based market sentiment, ahead of U.S. NAHB housing market index and New York empire state manufacturing index. Immediate resistance is located at 113.74 (5-DMA), a break above targets 114.00. On the downside, support is seen at 113.00, a break below could take it near 112.40 (May 8 Low).

GBP/USD: Sterling rose above the 1.2900 handle as the greenback remains broadly subdued amid weaker treasury yields, in the wake of diminishing bets of a June Fed hike. Sterling trades 0.2 percent up at 1.2908, having hit a low of 1.2849 last week, its lowest since May 4. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at -87.62 (Slightly Bearish) by 0400 GMT. Investors’ attention will remain on the U.S. fundamental drivers, as the UK economic calendar remains absolutely data empty. Immediate resistance is located at 1.2917 (5-DMA), a break above could take it near 1.2987 (May 10 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.2844 (Previous Session Low), a break below targets 1.2800. Against the euro, the pound traded 0.2 up at 84.66 pence, having hit a low of 84.88 in the prior session.

AUD/USD: The Australian dollar rose after data showed Chinese retail sales rose at an annualized rate of 10.7 percent in April versus expectations of 10.6 percent. However, weaker-than-expected China's industrial production and urban investment growth limited the upside. The Aussie trades 0.2 percent up at 0.7398, having hit a high of 0.7420 on Friday, it’s strongest since May. 8. FxWirePro's Hourly Aussie Strength Index stood at 0.62 (Neutral) by 0400 GMT. Investors will continue to digest mixed Chinese data, ahead of the U.S economic releases. Immediate support is seen at 0.7370 (5-DMA), a break below targets 0.7350. On the upside, resistance is located at 0.7414 (61.8 retracements of 0.7556 and 0.7328), a break above could take it near 0.7441 (50.0% retrace).

NZD/USD: The New Zealand dollar gained following a rally in oil prices combined with solid New Zealand retail sales data and a broadly weaker US dollar, in the wake of downbeat US retail sales and CPI data. The Kiwi trades 0.2 percent up at 0.6872, having touched a low of 0.6817 on Thursday, its weakest since Jun. 03. FxWirePro's Hourly Kiwi Strength Index was at -67.69 (Bearish) by 0500 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track broad based market sentiment, ahead of the U.S. economic data. Immediate resistance is located at 0.6883 (50.0% retracement of 0.6950 and 0.6817), a break above could take it near 0.6899 (38.2% retrace). On the downside, support is seen at 0.6826 (Previous Session Low), a break below could drag it till 0.6800.



DAPATKAN INFO TERKINI DAILY MARKET NEWS SETIAP HARI DI FIREWOODFX

http://www.firewoodfx.com/category/forex-market-news/
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Old 15-05-2017, 10:12 PM
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Equities Recap

Asian shares rose to a two-year high, shrugging off a missile test by North Korea, cyber-attack and weaker-than-expected U.S. data.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.1 percent.

Tokyo's Nikkei fell 0.2 percent to 19,844.24 points, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index eased 0.2 percent to 5,824.80 points and South Korea's KOSPI jumped 0.1 percent at 2,288.31 points.

Shanghai composite index edged up 0.2 percent to 3,090.88 points, while CSI300 index was trading 0.4 percent higher at 3,400.94 points.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was trading 0.5 percent higher at 25,290.29 points. Taiwan shares added 0.5 percent to 10,036.82 points.


Commodities Recap

Crude oil prices advanced by over 1.5 percent after the Saudi Arabian and Russian energy ministers said in a joint statement that an OPEC-led crude production cut would be extended from the middle of this year until next year. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 1.6 percent up at $51.61 per barrel by 0427 GMT, having hit a high of $51.66 earlier, its strongest since May. 2. U.S. West Texas Intermediate rallied 1.7 percent to $48.61 a barrel, after rising as high as $48.67, its highest since May. 3.

Gold prices rose, extending gains for the third straight session as weaker-than-expected economic data from the U.S. and a missile test by North Korea over the weekend weighed down the dollar. Spot gold was up 0.2 at $1,230.79 per ounce at 0434 GMT, having hit an eight-week low of $1,214.13 an ounce last week. U.S. gold futures were up 0.2 percent at $1,229.90 an ounce.


Treasuries Recap

The 10-year U.S treasury yield stood at 2.329 percent lower by 0.004 bps, while 5-year yield was 0.006 bps down at 1.846 percent.

The Australian government bonds hopped on the first trading day of the week, tracking strength in its United States’ counterpart, after reading a set of weaker-than-expected economic data for the month of April, released late Friday. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note plunged 5 basis points to 2.59 percent, the yield on 15-year note slumped 5-1/2 basis points to 2.99 percent and the yield on short-term 2-year traded 2 basis points lower at 1.66 percent.

The New Zealand government bonds gained, sending yields 3 basis points lower at the long end of the curve.





DAPATKAN INFO TERKINI DAILY MARKET NEWS SETIAP HARI DI FIREWOODFX

http://www.firewoodfx.com/category/forex-market-news/




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