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  #21  
Old 17-06-2012, 02:56 PM
jackobfx jackobfx is offline
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Default Euro wobbles near 2-year low after Spanish yields rise

* Euro near last week's low just below $1.25

* Eyes on whether Spanish govt bond yield hits 7 pct

* EUR short-covering may be curbed ahead of Irish referendum


TOKYO, May 29 (Reuters) - The euro wobbled near a two-year low against the dollar on Tuesday as concerns about the cost of shoring up the Spanish banking system pushed up Spanish debt yields, offsetting a slight easing in worries about Greece.

The 10-year Spanish bond yield rose to around 6.5 percent, driving the risk premium on Spanish government debt over German bunds to a euro-era high of 515 basis points, raising fears the euro zone's fourth biggest economy may fall victim to the debt crisis.

"Although pessimism over Greece is somewhat receding, worries about Spain are growing, with markets watching whether the Spanish bond yield will hit the seven percent mark," said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief FX strategist at Barclays in Tokyo.

Many market players view seven percent for a 10-year yield as unsustainable. The three euro zone countries that have requested bailouts all did so soon after their bond yield rose above seven percent.

The euro stood at $1.2525, off Monday's high of $1.2625 and near last week's two-year low of $1.2495. The euro gave up most of the gains made on Monday after Greek polls showed more support for pro-bailout parties ahead of the country's election on June 17.

Against the yen, the common currency fetched 99.68 yen , near a four-month low of 99.37 yen hit last week.

Any buying in the euro may also be curbed ahead of Ireland's referendum on Europe's new fiscal treaty on Thursday, although the market is cautiously optimistic that the Irish will support the treaty on fear that a "no" vote could add fuel to the fire.

While the treaty needs the approval of only 12 of the 17 euro zone countries to be ratified, a rejection by the Irish - the only nation offered a popular vote on the pact - would undermine Europe's strategy for overcoming the crisis.

The risk averse mood helped to support the yen, with the dollar stood not far from its three-month low of 79.002 yen, last trading at 79.55 per dollar.

The 79 yen level is seen as a major support, while strong resistance is seen at 80.41 yen, the top of cloud on weekly Ichimoku chart.

The Australian dollar fell 0.3 percent in early trade to $0.9822, though it is still about 1.4 percent above a six-month low of $0.9690 hit almost a week ago.

In addition to worries about Europe, concerns about a slowdown in China - Australia's main export market - and other emerging economies have weighed on the growth-sensitive Aussie for about a month.

In one positive technical development, however, the Aussie rose above the top of its downward channel since the beginning of May.


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  #22  
Old 17-06-2012, 03:04 PM
rashaa88 rashaa88 is offline
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ni bila punya news daa!!
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  #23  
Old 11-07-2012, 01:36 AM
jackobfx jackobfx is offline
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Default Euro Hits 2-Year Low As German Court Delays Decision On ESM

It seems like Europe just can’t catch a break. On Tuesday, the single currency hit a two-year low against the U.S. dollar, dropping all the way to 1.2235 in early trading as investors remained dissatisfied with the results of the latest Eurogroup summit. Despite agreeing to disburse the first €30 billion of the Spanish bank bailout, delaying the direct recapitalization of banks through the EFSF and the ESM, along with a German constitutional court hearing on the legality ESM, managed to rain on the parade.

The single currency is in trouble. The latest sell-off was apparently sparked by the ECB’s decision to cut its key interest rate to a historic low of 0.75% last Thursday. By 1:11 PM in New York, the exchange rate between the euro and the greenback stood at 1.2259. Despite hitting a two-year low on earlier on Tuesday, pressure is mounting for it to fall further.


While off their all-time highs, euro-shorts have risen again in the last week and stand at $23.79 billion, according to Nomura’s real-time estimates. “Without either monetary or political development that can meaningfully compress sovereign spreads the odds are tipped for the EUR to test sub 1.21 sooner than we think,” explained OANDA’s currency analyst Dean Popplewell. Other estimates are even rasher, with Morgan Stanley’s currency analysts suggesting there’s not much that can stop the single currency from sliding to its 2010 lows of 1.1875.

The problem continues to be a lack of clarity. European policymakers have tried to make bold statements recently, from approving a €100 billion bailout for Spanish banks, to accepting the direct capitalization of financial institutions through the EU’s emergency facilities. ECB Chief Mario Draghi has even cut rates to record lows, adding he stands ready to do whatever it takes to support the European economy.

Eurocrats, as Popplewell calls top EU policymakers, are showing an unsettling lack of urgency, thus keeping investors at bay. On Tuesday, it was Germany’s constitutional court that helped to rain on the parade. Voting on the legality of the ESM (the emergency facility that will succeed the EFSF), the court decided to postpone any decision, noting it would take months, rather than weeks as investors originally expected.

Policymakers appear unable to break the status quo. Beyond the German court’s delaying of any decision, the Eurogroup didn’t manage to come to an agreement as to how the ESM and the EFSF will directly capitalize financial institutions. Analysts at Barclays explained that markets are still unclear as to how credit risk will be distributed in terms of direct recapitalization. While the intention of direct cash injections is to avoid saddling troubled sovereigns with more debt, any actual direct recapitalization will have to wait until September, when the framework for a single supervisory mechanism is formally presented.

Until then, Spain will see those funds channeled through their own emergency facility, the FROB, which will add to the sovereign debt count.

Europe remains stuck in a political quicksand that it can’t escape. Sovereign spreads in major countries like Italy and Spain are stuck near unsustainable levels, and there’s still no actual banking and fiscal union that will allay market fears. Accelerating capital flight will put pressure on European banks, while global names like Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase face downside risk in their large sovereign debt portfolios.

Until Merkel, Monti, Hollande, and the rest of Europe’s leaders can agree on a set of measures that will directly ease sovereign funding pressure, and lower bond yields, investors will remain wary of putting their capital to play in the Eurozone. That doesn’t bode well for the single currency.


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  #24  
Old 11-07-2012, 09:24 AM
paraivagas paraivagas is offline
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jadi???? apa la mo buat kalau mcm tu? kekeke
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  #25  
Old 11-07-2012, 12:12 PM
sedinho sedinho is offline
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banyak giler turun.haha.ape jadi kt ekonomi eropah pasni ek.
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  #26  
Old 11-07-2012, 01:06 PM
Man bugis Man bugis is offline
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bila euro jatuh gold pun akan terjun sama.
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  #27  
Old 28-07-2012, 04:24 AM
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Default Euro edges higher vs dollar on ECB speculation

The euro rose to a three-week high against the U.S. dollar in volatile trade on Friday on speculation the European Central Bank may take further action to contain a spreading debt crisis, but a lack of details capped gains.

The euro rose to a session high after Bloomberg reported that ECB President Mario Draghi would meet with the head of Germany's Bundesbank, Jens Weidmann, to discuss several measures, including bond purchases, to stem the euro zone debt crisis. Weidmann is a member of the ECB Governing Council.

But caution quickly returned as investors said it remained unclear what actions the ECB might take given Germany's resistance to ECB bond buying. Some analysts also said the currency's three-day rally this week is overdone.

Asked about the report of Draghi's meeting with Weidmann, a spokeswoman for the European Central Bank said it was usual practice for Draghi to meet with Governing Council members. The spokeswoman declined further comment.

"Fundamentally, there's a lot of uncertainty and still a lot of unanswered questions as to how exactly the ECB plans to bring down sovereign borrowing costs," said Omer Esiner, chief market analyst at Commonwealth Foreign Exchange in Washington.

"To some extent, the rally in the euro and more broadly equities and risk assets had gotten a little bit ahead of itself."

The euro last traded at $1.2305, having risen as high as $1.2389 on Reuters data, the best level since July 6. It also rose 0.7 percent to 96.72 yen.

A string of positive comments from ECB officials has lifted the euro above a two-year low of $1.2040 set earlier this week.

On Thursday, Draghi said the ECB would do whatever it takes to protect the euro zone from collapse and preserve the single currency. On Wednesday, Ewald Nowotny, a member of the ECB's Governing Council, said he could see grounds for giving the euro zone bailout fund a banking license.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President François Hollande said on Friday that they are "deeply committed to the integrity of the euro zone" and "are determined to do everything to protect the euro zone."

"They are going to have to back it up at some point, but investors are not going to stand in the way of the European Central Bank and governments in the short term," said Joseph Trevisani, chief market strategist at Worldwide Markets in Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey.

The ECB, which cut interest rates to a record low in early July, will meet again next Thursday to decide on interest rates and discuss policy measures. It has previously bought government bonds in the secondary market to push yields lower, and pressure is building on it to do more.

On the week, the euro gained 1.5 percent against the dollar, the biggest rise since the week ended June 10.

Against the yen, the dollar advanced 0.5 percent to 78.56 yen and was up 0.2 percent for the week after the Commerce Department reported that U.S. economic growth slowed, as expected, in the second quarter.

The gross domestic product number may not be enough to push the Federal Reserve to pump more money into the economy in the near term, according to some strategists.

"The GDP data was at the margin fractionally stronger than expected and plays perfectly to the pre-release thinking that the Fed can wait for more clarity on the economy from the next two employment reports before enacting (or not) additional QE measures at the September FOMC meeting," said Alan Ruskin, head of G10 FX strategy at Deutsche Bank in New York.

A rally in stocks lifted risk appetite, driving the Australian dollar to a three-month high against the U.S. dollar. The Aussie dollar was last up 0.8 percent at $1.0479 . The New Zealand dollar jumped 1 percent to $0.8094


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  #28  
Old 01-08-2012, 01:06 AM
jackobfx jackobfx is offline
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Default Who is the Best Broker? (IB)

I am an IB for many years now, and have worked with many different brokers.

Recently I have been increasingly hearing about
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, and I was wondering if anyone has more information?
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  #29  
Old 01-08-2012, 01:12 AM
fathom11 fathom11 is online now
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xpehe kawe.... cube explain skit...
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  #30  
Old 01-08-2012, 06:20 PM
dealkhan dealkhan is offline
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gu nk jatuh 1.5579 kot kalo rendah dari 1.5619

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